Volatility Transmission Between Dow Jones Stock Index And Emerging Islamic Stock Index: Case Of Subprime Financial Crises

Authors

  • Amir Saadaoui
  • Younes Boujelbene

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5195/emaj.2015.68

Keywords:

Volatility transmission, DJ Index, Islamic DJ Emerging Index, Subprime crisis

Abstract

In the course of the recent global crisis, the stock shocks are distributed and transmitted from their homes in the developed stock market to emerging stock markets. By supporting the development of emerging stock markets, this study aims to see the transmission of volatility between the Dow Jones stock index and the Dow Jones emerging Islamic stock indiex. In this study we have divided the period into three, periods, before, during and after this crisis to demonstrate the resilience of the Islamic market index in response to the global financial crisis. Another aim of this study is to provide a new guide line for investors in emerging stock market before making investment decisions. The data are daily, going from 02/01/2005 until 31/12/2012. To measure the transmission we used bivariate BEKK-GARCH and DCC-GARCH model. The result shows that there is a transmission mainly during the crisis period which means that the crisis affects all the financial assets whether Islamic or not. The same result also shows the preference to invest in both Islamic and classical stock indexes since they are less risky.

References

Ahlgren, N & Antell, J. (2009),”Stock Market Linkages and Financial Contagion: A Cobreaking Analysis,” The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 50 (2010) 157 – 166.

Al-Zoubi and Maghyereh (2007), "The Relative Risk Performance of Islamic Finance: A New Guide To Less Risky Investments," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 235-249.

Charles, Amélie, Pop, Adrian and Darné, Olivier (2011), Is the Islamic Finance Model More Resilient than the Conventional Finance Model? Evidence from Sudden Changes in the Volatility of Dow Jones Indexes. International Conference of the French Finance Association (AFFI), May 1113, 2011. Available at SSRN:http://ssrn.com/abstract=1836751

Engle, R. and Kroner, K.F. (1995). Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, Vol.11, N.1, pp.122–150.

Karim, Bakri Abdul, Noor AkilaMohdKassim, and Mohammad Affendy Arip (2010)."The Subprime Crisis and Islamic Stock Markets Integration."International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management 3(4) 363-371.

Kumar, K and C Mukhopadhyay (2002): “Equity Market Interlinkages: Transmission of Volatility – A Case of US and India”, NSE Working Paper No.16.

Majid, M. Shabri Abd., Ahamed KameelMeera, and MohdAzmi Omar (2007). "Interdependence of ASEAN-5 Stock Markets from the US and Japan."20th Australasian Finance & Banking Conference.

Rahman, Aisyah Abdu, and Noor ZahirahMohd Sidek (2011)."Spillover Effect of US Sub prime Crisis on ASEAN-5 Stock Markets."Business and Social Science Research Conference. Dubai, UAE: World Business Institute Australia, 334.

Rizvi, S. Arshad, S. (2012) “Are Islamic Equity Indices a Safer Haven in Times of Crisis? An Empirical Proof Via Investigation of Global Indices Using Multivariate GARCH DCC.” International Islamic Capital Market Conference, Indonesia.

Wong W K, A Agarwal and J Du (2005): “Financial Integration for India Stock Market, a Fractional Cointegration Approach”, National University of Singapore Working Paper No. WP0501.

Yang, J. and Qiu, W. (2005), “A measure of risk and a decision-making model based on expected utility and entropy,” European Journal of Operational Research 164, 792-799.

Downloads

Published

2015-02-20

Issue

Section

Articles