Evaluating Banking Profit Performance in Ghana during and post Profit Decline: A five Step Du-Pont Approach

Authors

  • Baah Aye Kusi UNIVERSITY OF GHANA
  • Kwadjo Ansah-Adu VALLEY VIEW UNIVERSITY
  • Albert Agyei VALLEY VIEW UNIVERSITY

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5195/emaj.2015.79

Keywords:

Du-pont Model, Operating Profit Margin, Asset Turnover, Leverage, Interest burden, Tax Effect

Abstract

In this study we aimed at three objectives. First, identify and rank banks based on a composite score comprising of all five du-pont variables. Second, we identify variables in the five step du-pont set up that are most likely to influence bank ROE during and post profit declining periods. And third, we estimate a model to capture the variables that drive bank ROE during and post profit declining periods. We first establish from our rankings that, foreign banks in Ghana performed better during profit declining periods while the local banks performed better in post profit decline periods using the top ten banks as a benchmark in both periods. Employing Pearson correlation coefficients matrix, we recognized that operating profit margin, asset turnover and leverage were most likely to influence bank ROE in both time periods. We further employ OLS regression and find that bank ROE was impacted by operating profit margin and leverage during profit declining periods and post profit decline while tax effect added up in post profit declining periods.

Author Biographies

Baah Aye Kusi, UNIVERSITY OF GHANA

DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE

Kwadjo Ansah-Adu, VALLEY VIEW UNIVERSITY

BANKING AND FINANCE DEPARTMENT

Albert Agyei, VALLEY VIEW UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING

References

Alaghi, K. (2010). Financial leverage and systematic risk. African Journal of Business Management, Vol.5, (1), 39-43.

Altman E. I. (1968). Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance Vol XXIII, NO. 4.

Athanasoglou, P. P., Sophocles, N. B., and Delis, M. D. (2008). Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 18(2), 121-136.

Athanasoglou, P.P., Brissimis, S.N. and Delis, M.D. (2005). Bank-Specific, Industry-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Bank Profitability. Bank of Greece Working Paper, No. 25.

Blumenthal, R. G. (1998). ‘Tis the gift to be simple: Why the 80-year-old Du Pont model still has fans. CFO Magazine, January, 1998, pp. 1-3.

Burson, R. (1998). Tools you can use for improved ratio analysis. San Diego Business Journal, 12/07/98, Vol. 19, Issue 49, pp. 19-23.

Collins, D., Roman, F., and Chan, H. (2010). An Empirical Investigation of the Relationship between Profit Margin Persistence and Firms’ Choice of Business Model: Evidence from the US Airline Industry. Business Lawyer, (54), 921-963.

Conrad, D.A. (2010). Returns on Equity to Not-For-Profit Hospitals: Theory and Implementation. International Journal of Managerial Finance; Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Vol. 6, (3), 190-219.

Darmika, R. (2008). DuPont analysis of an information technology enables competitive advantage. Journal compilation Blackwell Publishing Ltd, Vol. 15, (2), 239-250.

Devine, K. and Seaton, L. (1995). An examination of quarterly financial ratio stability: implications for financial decision making. Journal of Applied Business Research, Winter, 1995, pp. 81-98.

Escudero, W.S. (2011). CEO Salary and Return on Equity. “Journal of Finance and Accountancy”, (61), 7-14.

Fairfield, P. and Yohn. T. (2001). Using asset turnover and profit margin to forecast changes in profitability. Review of Accounting Studies (December): 371–385.

Ge, W., and Soliman, M. (2007). Achieving competitive advantage through product differentiation and cost efficiency: A new approach with new insights.Working paper, University of Washington.

Gill, J. (1994). Financial Basics of Small Business Success, Crisp Publications, 1994.

Gitman, L. (1998). Principles of Financial Management, 8th Edition, Addison Wesley Publishers, 2000.

Hawawini, G. and Viallet, T. (1999). Finance for Executives, South-Western College Publishing, 1999.

Herciu, M., Belascu, L., Ogrean, C. (2011) A DuPont Analysis of the 20 Most Profitable Companies in the World. International Conference on Business and Economics Research, Vol. 1, 2011, pp. 45-48.

Kose, J., & Yiming, Q. (2003). Incentive features in CEO compensation in the banking industry. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic policy review, 9, 1, 107.

Lauzen, L. (1985). Small business failures are controllable, Corporate Accounting, Summer, 1985, pp. 34-38.

Liesz, T.J. (2004). Really modified DuPont analysis: five ways to improve return on equity. The Economics review, Vol. 81, (3), 231-243.

Liesz, T. (2002). Really modified Du Pont analysis: Five ways to improve return on equity. Proceedings of the SBIDA Conference. n.p.

Little, P., Little, B. and Coffee, D. (2009). Evaluating alternative strategies in the retail industry. Academy of Strategic Management Journal; Vol. 8, 41-53.

Little, P.L., Mortimer, W.J., Keene, M.A., and Henderson, L.R. (2009). Evaluating the effect of recession on retail firms’ strategy using DuPont method. Journal of Financial and Quantitative analysis, Vol. 38, (1), 1-36.

Macay, J. R., & O’Hara, M. (2003). The corporate governance of banks. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic policy review, 9, 1, 91-107.

Mark, T.S. (2008). The Use of DuPont Analysis by Market Participants. “The Accounting Review”, VOL. 83, (3), 307-320.

McClure, B. (2005). ROA and ROE Give Clear Picture of Corporate Health http://www.investopedia.com/articles/basics/05/052005.

Mehra, R. (2006). The Equity Premium in India, Managerial Auditing Journal, Vol. 23, (8),744-778.

Mihaela, H., Claudia, O., and Lucian, B. (2011). A Du Pont Analysis of the 20 Most Profitable Companies in the World. International Conference on Business and Economics Research, vol.1, (2), 87–106.

Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment. The American economic review, 48(3), 261-297.

Moss, C.B., Mishra, A.K. and Dedah, C. (2000). Decomposing Agricultural Profitability Using DuPont Expansion and Thiele’s Information Approach. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, (22), 257–283.

Moyer, C., McGuigan, J. and Rao, R. (2007). Fundamentals of Contemporary Financial Management. Thomson South-Western, USA, 2007, pp.113.

Nissim, D., & Penman, S. (2001). Ratio analysis and valuation: From research to practice. Review of accounting studies, 6, 109-154. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1011338221623

Osteryoung, J. and Constand, R. (1992). Financial ratios in large public and small private firms, Journal of Small Business Management, July, 1992, pp. 35-47.

Palepu, K., & Healy, P. (2008). Business analysis and valuation: Using financial statements (Fourth edition). Mason, OH: Thomson Southwestern.

Pratt, J., & Hirst, D. (2008). Financial reporting for managers: A value-creation perspective. New York, NY, Wiley.

Richardson, S., Sloan, R., Soliman, M. and Tuna, I. (2006). The implications of firm growth and accounting distortions for accruals and profitability. The Accounting Review 81: 713–743.

Ross, S., Westerfield, R., Jaffe, J. and Jordan, B. (2008). Modern Financial Management, eighth edition. McGraw Hill, New York, 2008, pp. 53.

Selvarasu, A., Agarwal, Y., Antonio, F., Jha, W., and Ferreira, M. (2010), Model predicting profit and turnover path of apparel-retail Company, Journal of Economics and Engineering, Vol. 1, (7), 631-649.

Soliman, M. (2004). Using industry-adjusted Du Pont analysis to predict future profitability and returns. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Michigan. http://dx.doi.org/10.2308/accr.2008.83.3.823.

Soliman, M. (2008). The use of Du Pont analysis by market participants. The Accounting Review, 83(3), 823-853.

Weeden, G. and Langemeier, M. (2008). An Examination of Financial Performance among Age Cohorts. International Review of Business Research Papers, Vol. 4, (4), 190-198.

Downloads

Published

2015-11-12

Issue

Section

Articles